Federico Nutarelli
COVID and International Export Probability using Machine Learning
How did COVID-19 impact on the probability of exporting of firms? COVID-19 impacted our everyday life and continues to do so. The pandemic hit so hard that Econometrics itself was involved. Indeed, any counterfactual analysis seems impossible as COVID-19 had a "vertical" impact on every individual. Thus, the construction of a "control group" is very difficult, not allowing for any causal inference...or maybe not? Machine Learning can help uncovering apparently hidden patterns